
To estimate patterns of long-term, within-person, changes in alcohol consumption  among adults of different ages and assess key predictors of alcohol-use patterns  over time.
Data came from 3,617 adults, interviewed up  to four times between 1986 and 2002. Multilevel multinomial logit models  estimated the odds of abstinence and heavy drinking relative to moderate  drinking.
The odds of abstinence increased and the  odds of heavy drinking decreased during the study period. Older adults  experienced faster increases in abstinence than younger adults. However, data  extrapolations suggest that current younger adults are more likely to be  abstinent and less likely to be heavy drinkers during late life than current  older adults. Time-varying health, social, and lifestyle factors account for  some of these patterns.
Drinking behavior in our  aging population appears to be on a relatively promising course, perhaps  reflecting the effectiveness of public health efforts. 
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Request Reprint E-Mail: bashaw@uamail.albany.edu
Read Full Abstract
Request Reprint E-Mail: bashaw@uamail.albany.edu
 
